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(10/4/14)
The S&P 500 briefly dropped below its 25 Week EMA (blue
line) on Thursday and then rallied back above it on Friday. As I have
mentioned before the 25 Week EMA has been a key support area the last few years
(points A). Thus the obvious outcome will be for the S&P 500 to rally
to a new high just like the previous six times.  Meanwhile back in the 2004 through
2007 time period we saw the same type of action with the 20 Month EMA providing
support in the the S&P 500 six different times (points B). However
once the S&P 500 closed below its 20 Month EMA in early 2008 (point C) that
signaled an end to that Bull Market period. Thus once we see a weekly
close below the 25 Week EMA then that may signal a change in direction for the
S&P 500. 
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