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Weekend Stock Market Analysis

(2/21/15)

The Volatility Index (VIX) is trending back towards its upward trend line from last July's low.  Trend line support looks to be around 12.50 so if that level is tested I would expect a decent bounce to occur in the VIX.

 

Meanwhile since the VIX and S&P 500 typically move in opposite directions, if the VIX moves lower in the near term, expect more upside in the S&P 500.   The 2125 to 2140 range looks like a potential target in the near term.   

Finally for those watching the price of Oil it looks like a developing 5 Wave pattern as the 4th Wave bottomed in the lower 40's.  Currently we are probably seeing the early stages of a 4th Wave consolidation pattern which may last another 4 to 5 months before the last Wave down occurs.  The target for the 5th Wave would probably be in the mid 30's which coincides with the low made in early 2009.

 

 

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