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(12/21/13)
The Dow is now testing the upper trend line connecting the 2000
and 2007 highs just above the 16000 level. If the Dow is forming a
large Broadening Top pattern then the last wave up should be nearing
completion. Naturally if this pattern were to follow through in the
next 2 to 3 years then the Dow would eventually retest the lower trend line
connecting the 2002 and 2009 lows near the 6000 level. Keep in
mind this is the worst case bearish
scenario.
This pattern has occurred before during the 1960's and
1970's. Back then the S&P 500 formed a large Broadening Top pattern
which was followed by a 48% correction as the lower trend line was eventually
retested.
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