(2/22/17)
As pointed out in the Weekend Analysis, a week ago on February
15th, we saw a very unusual event in which the VIX was up over 10% along with
the S&P 500. Typically there has been a 99% correlation between
the two since the late 1990's such that a substantial rise in the VIX is
accompanied by a drop in the S&P 500. Meanwhile I looked at
the VXO, which goes all the way back to 1986, and the results show that there
have only been "3" events out of 217 where the VXO has been up 15% or
more with the S&P 500 up as well. The other two occurrences happened
on May 5th, 1997 and way back on August 11th, 1987. As I will show in the
next Weekend Analysis these prior two events led to substantially different
outcomes for the market.
Thursday's
Buy Signals
Primary |
Secondary |
RSI |
Williams |
Fisher |
TRIN |
Volatility |
Money |
Money |
Put to |
VWAP |
Advance |
Signal |
RSI
Long |
RSI
Long |
Max/Min |
%R |
Transform |
S&P 500 |
Bands |
Flow |
Flow/
TRIN |
Call Ratio |
|
Decline |
Strength |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Ratio |
|
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
|
When 6 or more Signals are generated that is a Strong Buy
Signal
When 3 to 5 Signals are generated that is a Moderate Buy Signal
When only 1 or 2 Signals are generated that is a Weak Buy Signal
Thursday's Sell Signals
Advance |
Fisher |
ROC |
RSI |
VWAP |
Volatility |
Volatility |
TRIN |
Signal |
Decline |
Transform |
VWAP |
Max |
Percent |
Index |
Bands |
S&P 500 |
Strength |
Ratio |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
Signal |
|
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
No |
|
When 5 or more Signals are generated that is a Strong
Sell Signal
When 3 to 4 Signals are generated that is a Moderate Sell Signal
When only 1 or 2 Signals are generated that is a Weak Sell Signal
When a Buy or Short Signal is triggered numbers will be entered into the table
below.
ETF |
Thursday's |
Buy/Short
Signal |
Entry |
Initial
Stop |
Trailing
Stop |
1st
Target |
2nd
Target |
3rd |
Target |
|
Signals |
Date |
Price |
Price |
Price |
Price |
Price |
Price |
SPY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amateur Investors
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