401K/TSP Timing Signals
(Updated 1/2/11) This page gives all of the Buy and Sell
Signals using our Market Timing System which focuses on the S&P 500.
We use our Mutual Fund Panic Index to time Buy Signals and then use a
combination of Hussman and Hindenburg Omen Signals to time Sell Signals. For those that are government employees and use the
Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) these signals pertain to the C Fund. We
advise that when there isn't a Buy Signal to have your money in the G Fund for
people who are using the TSP. Monthly Analysis
We got a Long term Sell Signal in December of 2010 so positions
were exited at the end of the month for a gain of 58% from the Long Term Buy
Signal that was triggered in March of 2009.
The Long Term Primary Buy and Sell Signals are based on being fully
invested in a Fund that tracks the S&P 500. For Government Employees
the C Fund tracks the S&P 500.
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Long Term Primary
Buy and Sell Signals since 1960
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| Buy Signal |
Buy |
Sell |
Sell Signal |
% |
| Date |
Price |
Price |
Date |
Gain/Loss |
| 3/2009 |
793.59 |
1257.64 |
12/2010 |
58.5% |
| 12/2002 |
879.82 |
1455.27 |
7/2007 |
65.4% |
| 3/1988 |
258.88 |
1120.66 |
7/1998 |
332.8% |
| 12/1974 |
68.53 |
321.83 |
9/1987 |
369.6% |
| 9/1970 |
84.21 |
116.03 |
1/1973 |
37.8% |
| 9/1962 |
56.27 |
116.03 |
1/1973 |
106.2% |
Total Return for the "C" Fund 2000 through 2010:
-14.4%
Long Term Strategy based on Mutual Fund Panic Index 2000-2010:
123.9%
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along with specific Buy and Stop Loss Prices in addition to Target
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ETF Signals, 401K/TSP Signals
and Market
Timing Indicator (MTI) as well. For those that like to Short we also a maintain a
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